Herding Behavior in African Stock Markets: A State-Space Assessment During Times of Crisis
This study investigates the dynamics of herding behavior in 17 African stock markets from 2009 to 2022, controlling for hard times such as the European debt crisis, the Arab Spring uprising, the Ebola outbreak, Brexit, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Using state-space models, we extract time series of herd dynamics and find slightly negative, albeit statistically significant, herding during normal times. Contrary to expectations, herding does not intensify during crises. Instead, short-lived episodes of adverse herding occur during crisis periods, driven more by external than internal African crises. These findings provide new insights into herding dynamics in African markets under stress.